I’m not saying this because I have insider knowledge. I don’t. I’m just reading the tea leaves here, and delivering some thoughts based on the slew of polls that are being released, uh, everywhere.
I also might have some interest in them calling an election. Specifically, I have an ongoing bet with my francophone colleagues from my French podcast– Le plancher des vaches.
For those of you who are not French speakers, we have become gambling addicts on our French podcast. I recently won our first bet– that Francois Legault would quit as Premier. They each owe me a beer. We also bet whether there will be an election or not this year. I bet yes. They bet no. Whoever wins gets wine.
Gabrielle, a new journalist (she’s only been doing journalism for 20 years versus my…1 year), is completely convinced that there’s no election coming.
I, however, with my vast swathes of experience, know what’s happening.
Yes, Gabrielle has one of the best reputations in the country as a journalist. Yes, she’s known all over Canada. Yes, she founded two media outlets and was the president of the Independent Journalist Association. Yes, she helps run the $100 million Google money every year and speaks to journalists every day across Canada. Yes, she is invited to conferences, and is exceptionally famous. Yes, she can write an article that comes out perfectly within an hour with no edits. Yes, she has a master’s degree in journalism versus my music degree. Yes, she’s covered a dozen elections and I’ve only covered one. Yes, she is calmer than I am and more rational. Yes, she is more experienced, a better journalist, and wiser than me.
But I have one thing she doesn’t.
I have a following on Instagram and Tik Tok.
And I say that the Liberals are going to call an election in April or May.
Let’s look at some polling– I’m going to use the fine work of Eric Grenier and Philippe Fournier as my baseline! Please go check out their work and subscribe to them– I subscribe to them both!




